NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Aug, 2010 21:00 GMT
Tropical Depression 09E (09E) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)Mexico
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
San Nicolas (16.4 N, 98.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.
