NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2017 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SAOLA is currently located near 21.7 N 129.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
