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Wednesday, September 8, 2021

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane LARRY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 9 Sep, 2021 3:00 GMT

Hurricane LARRY is currently located near 29.7 N 60.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). LARRY is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LARRY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Canada
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St John's (47.5 N, 52.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    St. Pierre and Miquelon
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
    Greenland
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Grand Falls (48.6 N, 55.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MINDY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 9 Sep, 2021 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MINDY is currently located near 29.9 N 84.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). MINDY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm OLAF

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Sep, 2021 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OLAF is currently located near 20.0 N 108.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). OLAF is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Lucas (22.9 N, 109.9 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Super Typhoon CHANTHU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Sep, 2021 0:00 GMT

Super Typhoon CHANTHU is currently located near 15.5 N 128.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 140 kts (161 mph). CHANTHU is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHANTHU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CONSON

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Sep, 2021 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CONSON is currently located near 15.8 N 118.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). CONSON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane LARRY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Sep, 2021 21:00 GMT

Hurricane LARRY is currently located near 28.9 N 59.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). LARRY is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LARRY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Canada
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St John's (47.5 N, 52.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    St. Pierre and Miquelon
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Grand Falls (48.6 N, 55.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon CHANTHU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Sep, 2021 18:00 GMT

Typhoon CHANTHU is currently located near 15.4 N 129.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 135 kts (155 mph). CHANTHU is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHANTHU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CONSON

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Sep, 2021 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CONSON is currently located near 15.6 N 119.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). CONSON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane LARRY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Sep, 2021 15:00 GMT

Hurricane LARRY is currently located near 27.7 N 58.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). LARRY is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LARRY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Canada
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St John's (47.5 N, 52.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    St. Pierre and Miquelon
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon CHANTHU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Sep, 2021 12:00 GMT

Typhoon CHANTHU is currently located near 15.5 N 130.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 135 kts (155 mph). CHANTHU is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHANTHU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CONSON

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Sep, 2021 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CONSON is currently located near 14.7 N 120.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). CONSON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane LARRY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Sep, 2021 9:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane LARRY is currently located near 26.5 N 57.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). LARRY is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LARRY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Canada
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
    St. Pierre and Miquelon
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St John's (47.5 N, 52.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Super Typhoon CHANTHU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Sep, 2021 6:00 GMT

Super Typhoon CHANTHU is currently located near 15.6 N 131.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 140 kts (161 mph). CHANTHU is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHANTHU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CONSON

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Sep, 2021 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CONSON is currently located near 14.1 N 120.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). CONSON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).