N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 2 Oct, 2019 9:00 GMT
Hurricane LORENZO is currently located near 42.3 N 29.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). LORENZO is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LORENZO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s) Ireland
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Northern Ireland
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s) Belmullet (54.2 N, 10.0 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Galway (53.3 N, 9.1 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Sligo (54.3 N, 8.4 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Ardara (54.8 N, 8.4 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Dingle (52.2 N, 10.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Dublin (53.3 N, 6.3 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s) the Azores
probability for TS is 100% currently
Scotland
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
the Isle of Man
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
Wales
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
England
probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
France
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
the Channel Islands
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
the Netherlands
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
Belgium
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
Germany
probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
Luxembourg
probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s) Wexford (52.3 N, 6.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
Cork (51.9 N, 8.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
Bantry (51.7 N, 9.4 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Belfast (54.6 N, 5.9 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
Holyhead (53.3 N, 4.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
Fishguard (51.9 N, 5.0 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
Stranraer (55.0 N, 5.0 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
Oban (56.3 N, 5.5 W)
probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
Glasgow (55.9 N, 4.3 W)
probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
Workington (54.6 N, 3.4 W)
probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
Cardiff (51.5 N, 3.2 W)
probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
Lands End (50.1 N, 5.6 W)
probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
Torquay (50.3 N, 3.7 W)
probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
Portree (57.5 N, 6.2 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
Inverness (57.3 N, 4.3 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
Dundee (56.5 N, 3.0 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
Edinburgh (55.8 N, 3.1 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
Newcastle (55.0 N, 1.6 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
York (54.2 N, 1.5 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
Manchester (53.5 N, 2.3 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
Birmingham (52.5 N, 1.9 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
Southampton (50.9 N, 1.4 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
Weymouth (50.6 N, 2.4 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
Hull (53.8 N, 0.1 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
Norwich (52.6 N, 1.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
Amsterdam (52.4 N, 4.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
Cambridge (52.2 N, 0.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
Rotterdam (51.9 N, 4.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
London (51.5 N, 0.2 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
Dover (51.2 N, 1.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
Brussels (50.8 N, 4.4 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
Amiens (49.9 N, 2.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
St. Helier (49.2 N, 2.1 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
Paris (48.9 N, 2.4 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
Brest (48.4 N, 4.5 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
Rennes (48.1 N, 1.7 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
Luxembourg (49.6 N, 6.1 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
Orleans (47.9 N, 1.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
Ponta Delgada (37.7 N, 25.7 W)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Ullapool (58.0 N, 5.2 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
Aberdeen (57.2 N, 2.1 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
Groningen (53.2 N, 6.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
Bonn (50.7 N, 7.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
Nancy (48.7 N, 6.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
Stornoway (58.3 N, 6.3 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
Nantes (47.2 N, 1.6 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
Dortmund (51.5 N, 7.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
