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Thursday, March 26, 2026

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone NARELLE

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Mar, 2026 0:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone NARELLE is currently located near 22.4 S 113.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). NARELLE is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NARELLE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Carnarvon (24.9 S, 113.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Gascoyne Junction (25.1 S, 115.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Useless Loop (26.3 S, 113.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
    Kalbarri (27.7 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
    Northampton (28.4 S, 114.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
    Geraldton (28.8 S, 114.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
    Green Head (30.1 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 24 hours
    Moora (30.7 S, 116.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply email address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone NARELLE

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Mar, 2026 18:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone NARELLE is currently located near 21.1 S 114.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). NARELLE is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NARELLE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Gascoyne Junction (25.1 S, 115.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Carnarvon (24.9 S, 113.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Warramboo (28.0 S, 117.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply email address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC NARELLE

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Mar, 2026 12:00 GMT

Very Intense TC NARELLE is currently located near 20.4 S 114.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). NARELLE is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NARELLE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Carnarvon (24.9 S, 113.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Gascoyne Junction (25.1 S, 115.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Useless Loop (26.3 S, 113.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Kalbarri (27.7 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Northampton (28.4 S, 114.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Moora (30.7 S, 116.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Geraldton (28.8 S, 114.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply email address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone NARELLE

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Mar, 2026 6:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone NARELLE is currently located near 19.6 S 115.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). NARELLE is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NARELLE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Carnarvon (24.9 S, 113.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Gascoyne Junction (25.1 S, 115.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Useless Loop (26.3 S, 113.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
    Kalbarri (27.7 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply email address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).