SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Mar, 2026 0:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone NARELLE is currently located near 22.4 S 113.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). NARELLE is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NARELLE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Carnarvon (24.9 S, 113.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Gascoyne Junction (25.1 S, 115.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Useless Loop (26.3 S, 113.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Kalbarri (27.7 S, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Northampton (28.4 S, 114.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Geraldton (28.8 S, 114.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Green Head (30.1 S, 115.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 24 hours
Moora (30.7 S, 116.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).