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Tuesday, August 13, 2013

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon UTOR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Aug, 2013 0:00 GMT

Typhoon UTOR (11W) currently located near 20.7 N 112.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Macau
probability for TS is 80% currently
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon UTOR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Aug, 2013 18:00 GMT

Typhoon UTOR (11W) currently located near 19.8 N 112.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Macau
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-WCATWC Tsunami Information Statement

WEAK53 PAAQ 131549
TIBAK1

PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
849 AM PDT TUE AUG 13 2013

...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...

EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.

* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.

* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.7
* ORIGIN TIME 0743 AKDT AUG 13 2013
0843 PDT AUG 13 2013
1543 UTC AUG 13 2013
* COORDINATES 5.9 NORTH 78.2 WEST
* DEPTH 6 MILES
* LOCATION SOUTH OF PANAMA


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY WCATWC MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT
UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin

TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1547Z 13 AUG 2013

THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.

... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...

THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.

THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.

AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS

ORIGIN TIME - 1543Z 13 AUG 2013
COORDINATES - 5.9 NORTH 78.2 WEST
DEPTH - 10 KM
LOCATION - SOUTH OF PANAMA
MAGNITUDE - 6.7

EVALUATION

NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.

HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.

THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon UTOR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Aug, 2013 12:00 GMT

Typhoon UTOR (11W) currently located near 19.2 N 113.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Macau
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon UTOR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Aug, 2013 6:00 GMT

Typhoon UTOR (11W) currently located near 18.9 N 114.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Macau
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.