N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 2 Sep, 2016 15:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HERMINE is currently located near 31.9 N 82.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). HERMINE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s) the United States
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s) Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)
probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours
Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
Charlotte (35.2 N, 80.8 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.