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Friday, September 2, 2016

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm GASTON

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 3 Sep, 2016 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm GASTON is currently located near 40.1 N 28.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). GASTON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Azores
        probability for TS is 85% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NAMTHEUN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 3 Sep, 2016 0:00 GMT

Typhoon NAMTHEUN is currently located near 29.3 N 130.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). NAMTHEUN is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NAMTHEUN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HERMINE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 2 Sep, 2016 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HERMINE is currently located near 33.0 N 80.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). HERMINE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
    Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for TS is 65% within 9 hours
    New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
    Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% within 9 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% currently
    Hartford (41.5 N, 72.7 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NAMTHEUN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Sep, 2016 18:00 GMT

Typhoon NAMTHEUN is currently located near 28.5 N 130.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). NAMTHEUN is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NAMTHEUN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HERMINE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 2 Sep, 2016 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HERMINE is currently located near 31.9 N 82.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). HERMINE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Charlotte (35.2 N, 80.8 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
    Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
    New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm GASTON

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 2 Sep, 2016 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm GASTON is currently located near 39.1 N 32.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). GASTON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Azores
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NAMTHEUN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Sep, 2016 12:00 GMT

Typhoon NAMTHEUN is currently located near 27.8 N 130.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). NAMTHEUN is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NAMTHEUN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HERMINE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 2 Sep, 2016 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HERMINE is currently located near 30.8 N 83.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). HERMINE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for TS is 70% within 9 hours
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Charlotte (35.2 N, 80.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 117 hours
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm GASTON

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 2 Sep, 2016 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm GASTON is currently located near 38.5 N 34.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). GASTON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Azores
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NAMTHEUN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Sep, 2016 6:00 GMT

Typhoon NAMTHEUN is currently located near 27.2 N 130.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). NAMTHEUN is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NAMTHEUN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.