SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Apr, 2017 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm COOK is currently located near 17.5 S 167.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). COOK is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
New Caledonia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Bourail (21.6 S, 165.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vanuatu
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Port Vila (17.7 S, 168.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Noum'ea (22.2 S, 166.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Kone (21.0 S, 164.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Tadine (21.5 S, 167.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Lenakel (19.5 S, 169.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
