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Monday, February 11, 2019

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FIFTEEN

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Feb, 2019 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FIFTEEN is currently located near 14.0 S 164.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). FIFTEEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taktak (14.9 S, 166.6 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Foreas (13.9 S, 167.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Onetar (14.3 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).