TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm SHAHEEN-GULAB

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 3 Oct, 2021 0:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm SHAHEEN-GULAB is currently located near 24.3 N 59.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). SHAHEEN-GULAB is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SHAHEEN-GULAB is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Oman
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Iran
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    the United Arab Emirates
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Muscat (23.5 N, 58.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Kalak (25.5 N, 59.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    Nazwa (22.9 N, 57.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Ibri (23.2 N, 56.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm SHAHEEN-GULAB

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 2 Oct, 2021 18:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm SHAHEEN-GULAB is currently located near 24.3 N 60.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). SHAHEEN-GULAB is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SHAHEEN-GULAB is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Iran
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Oman
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Chah Bahar (25.4 N, 60.7 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Kalak (25.5 N, 59.3 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Muscat (23.5 N, 58.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Fins (22.9 N, 59.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Sur (22.5 N, 59.6 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm SHAHEEN-GULAB

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 2 Oct, 2021 12:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm SHAHEEN-GULAB is currently located near 24.5 N 60.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). SHAHEEN-GULAB is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SHAHEEN-GULAB is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Iran
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Pakistan
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Oman
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    the United Arab Emirates
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Chah Bahar (25.4 N, 60.7 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Kalak (25.5 N, 59.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Nikshahr (26.2 N, 60.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Jask (25.8 N, 57.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Dubai (25.3 N, 55.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SHAHEEN-GULAB

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 2 Oct, 2021 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SHAHEEN-GULAB is currently located near 24.1 N 61.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). SHAHEEN-GULAB is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Iran
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Pakistan
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Oman
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
    the United Arab Emirates
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Chah Bahar (25.4 N, 60.7 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Kalak (25.5 N, 59.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Gwadar (25.3 N, 62.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Nikshahr (26.2 N, 60.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
    Jask (25.8 N, 57.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
    Muscat (23.5 N, 58.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
0637 UTC SAT OCT 2 2021

..PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.2
* ORIGIN TIME 0629 UTC OCT 2 2021
* COORDINATES 20.9 SOUTH 174.9 EAST
* DEPTH 487 KM / 302 MILES
* LOCATION VANUATU REGION


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.2 OCCURRED IN
THE VANUATU ISLANDS REGION AT 0629 UTC ON SATURDAY OCTOBER 2
2021.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
BECAUSE THE EARTHQUAKE IS LOCATED TOO DEEP INSIDE THE EARTH.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$