NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2015 0:00 GMT (Final Warning)
Typhoon DUJUAN (21W) currently located near 25.0 N 119.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
