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Sunday, May 23, 2021

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TWO

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 May, 2021 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TWO is currently located near 16.0 N 89.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). TWO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bangladesh
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Myanmar
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Baleshwar (21.5 N, 87.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Kolkata (22.5 N, 88.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Cuttack (20.5 N, 85.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Puri (19.9 N, 85.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Kharagpur (22.4 N, 87.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Khulna (22.9 N, 89.6 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Barisal (22.7 N, 90.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Jessore (23.2 N, 89.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).