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Saturday, July 4, 2026

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BAVI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 5 Jul, 2026 0:00 GMT

Typhoon BAVI is currently located near 12.9 N 148.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 135 kts (155 mph). BAVI is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. BAVI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply email address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BAVI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 4 Jul, 2026 18:00 GMT

Typhoon BAVI is currently located near 12.7 N 149.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 135 kts (155 mph). BAVI is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. BAVI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply email address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MAYSAK

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 4 Jul, 2026 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm MAYSAK is currently located near 21.6 N 107.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). MAYSAK is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply email address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MAYSAK

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 4 Jul, 2026 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MAYSAK is currently located near 21.3 N 107.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). MAYSAK is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply email address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Super Typhoon BAVI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 4 Jul, 2026 12:00 GMT

Super Typhoon BAVI is currently located near 12.7 N 150.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 140 kts (161 mph). BAVI is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. BAVI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply email address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).