N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 24 Aug, 2020 3:00 GMT
Tropical Storm LAURA is currently located near 20.1 N 76.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). LAURA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cuba
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Jamaica
probability for TS is 75% currently
the United States
probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Camaguey (21.4 N, 77.9 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 9 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
Santa Clara (22.4 N, 80.0 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
Havana (23.0 N, 82.4 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
Nueva Gerona (21.9 N, 82.8 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
Montego Bay (18.5 N, 77.9 W)
probability for TS is 60% within 9 hours
Pinar Del Rio (22.4 N, 83.7 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
Key West (24.7 N, 81.8 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
Baton Rouge (30.5 N, 91.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours
New Orleans (30.0 N, 90.1 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).