TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ERIKA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 25 Aug, 2015 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ERIKA (AL05) currently located near 15.2 N 51.0 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm GONI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Aug, 2015 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm GONI (16W) currently located near 36.4 N 131.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Japan
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Russian Federation
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    North Korea
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Vladivostok (43.1 N, 132.0 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ERIKA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 25 Aug, 2015 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ERIKA (AL05) currently located near 14.6 N 49.4 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon GONI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Aug, 2015 6:00 GMT

Typhoon GONI (16W) currently located near 35.3 N 131.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    North Korea
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    the Russian Federation
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    Vladivostok (43.1 N, 132.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.