TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone AMOS

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Apr, 2016 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone AMOS is currently located near 13.9 S 171.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). AMOS is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. AMOS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
        probability for TS is 65% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FANTALA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Apr, 2016 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FANTALA is currently located near 11.7 S 54.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). FANTALA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Seychelles
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Providence Is. (9.2 S, 51.1 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone AMOS

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Apr, 2016 12:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone AMOS is currently located near 13.4 S 172.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). AMOS is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. AMOS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% currently
        probability for TS is 95% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone AMOS

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Apr, 2016 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone AMOS is currently located near 12.8 S 173.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). AMOS is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. AMOS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.