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Thursday, January 18, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BERGUITTA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jan, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BERGUITTA is currently located near 22.8 S 54.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). BERGUITTA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Reunion
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BERGUITTA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 18 Jan, 2018 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BERGUITTA is currently located near 22.4 S 54.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). BERGUITTA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Reunion
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone BERGUITTA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 18 Jan, 2018 12:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone BERGUITTA is currently located near 21.5 S 56.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). BERGUITTA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. BERGUITTA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Reunion
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone BERGUITTA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 18 Jan, 2018 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone BERGUITTA is currently located near 20.7 S 57.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). BERGUITTA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. BERGUITTA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Reunion
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).