S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 30 Jan, 2022 0:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI is currently located near 17.6 S 68.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). BATSIRAI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. BATSIRAI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mauritius
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Reunion
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
