S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 10 Feb, 2026 0:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone GEZANI is currently located near 18.2 S 52.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). GEZANI is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. GEZANI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mozambique
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Inhambane (23.9 S, 35.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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