TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm EMNATI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 18 Feb, 2022 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm EMNATI is currently located near 13.4 S 63.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). EMNATI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm EMNATI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 Feb, 2022 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm EMNATI is currently located near 13.9 S 64.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). EMNATI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).