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Wednesday, October 31, 2012

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NILAM

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2012 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm NILAM (02B) currently located near 12.6 N 80.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Bangalore (13.0 N, 77.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2012 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm NILAM (02B) currently located near 12.6 N 80.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Bangalore (13.0 N, 77.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NILAM

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NILAM (02B) currently located near 12.0 N 81.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NILAM (02B) currently located near 12.0 N 81.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.