SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 6 Mar, 2021 6:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone NIRAN is currently located near 22.7 S 166.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). NIRAN is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NIRAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
New Caledonia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Noum'ea (22.2 S, 166.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vanuatu
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kone (21.0 S, 164.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Tadine (21.5 S, 167.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Bourail (21.6 S, 165.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Lenakel (19.5 S, 169.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
