Pages

Tuesday, October 28, 2025

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MELISSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2025 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MELISSA is currently located near 19.3 N 76.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). MELISSA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MELISSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Jamaica
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MONTHA

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2025 0:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm MONTHA is currently located near 16.9 N 81.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). MONTHA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MELISSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2025 0:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MELISSA is currently located near 18.8 N 77.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). MELISSA is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MELISSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 6 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 18 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 30 hours
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 18 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 66 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 66 hours
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 60% in about 18 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for TS is 55% in about 30 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Montego Bay (18.5 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 66 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 66 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MELISSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2025 21:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MELISSA is currently located near 18.5 N 77.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). MELISSA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MELISSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Montego Bay (18.5 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MONTHA

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2025 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MONTHA is currently located near 16.0 N 81.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). MONTHA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kavali (14.9 N, 80.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MELISSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2025 18:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MELISSA is currently located near 18.2 N 78.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 145 kts (167 mph). MELISSA is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MELISSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 18 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 30 hours
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 66 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 66 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Montego Bay (18.5 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 6 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 18 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 6 hours
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 66 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 66 hours
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 30 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for TS is 70% in about 30 hours
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 65% in about 18 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 6 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MELISSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2025 15:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MELISSA is currently located near 17.9 N 77.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 160 kts (184 mph). MELISSA is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MELISSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Montego Bay (18.5 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MELISSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2025 14:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MELISSA is currently located near 17.7 N 78.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 155 kts (178 mph). MELISSA is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MELISSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 4 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 16 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 40 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 40 hours
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 64 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 64 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Montego Bay (18.5 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 4 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 28 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 16 hours
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 64 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 64 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for TS is 70% in about 40 hours
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 65% in about 28 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 40 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 40 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MONTHA

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2025 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MONTHA is currently located near 15.9 N 82.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). MONTHA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MELISSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2025 12:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MELISSA is currently located near 17.5 N 78.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 150 kts (173 mph). MELISSA is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MELISSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 6 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 18 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 18 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 42 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 42 hours
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 66 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 66 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Montego Bay (18.5 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 6 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 18 hours
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 66 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 66 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for TS is 70% in about 42 hours
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 65% in about 30 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 42 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 42 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MELISSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2025 9:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MELISSA is currently located near 17.2 N 78.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 150 kts (173 mph). MELISSA is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MELISSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Montego Bay (18.5 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MONTHA

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2025 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MONTHA is currently located near 15.2 N 82.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). MONTHA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MELISSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2025 6:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MELISSA is currently located near 16.8 N 78.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 150 kts (173 mph). MELISSA is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MELISSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 18 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 30 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 42 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 42 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Montego Bay (18.5 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 18 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 30 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 90 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 90 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for TS is 65% in about 42 hours
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 60% in about 30 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 90 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 90 hours
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 42 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 42 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).