N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 May, 2016 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm ROANU is currently located near 17.6 N 84.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). ROANU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Bangladesh
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Myanmar
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Puri (19.8 N, 85.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Naupada (18.6 N, 84.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Brahmapur (19.3 N, 84.9 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Cuttack (20.5 N, 85.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Baleshwar (21.5 N, 87.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Barisal (22.7 N, 90.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Chittagong (22.3 N, 91.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Cox's Bazar (21.4 N, 92.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
