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Tuesday, January 19, 2016

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone VICTOR

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jan, 2016 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone VICTOR is currently located near 21.1 S 167.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). VICTOR is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. VICTOR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Alofi (19.0 S, 169.9 W)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Nuku' alofa (21.1 S, 175.2 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone VICTOR

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jan, 2016 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone VICTOR is currently located near 20.8 S 167.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). VICTOR is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. VICTOR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Alofi (19.0 S, 169.9 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.