NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Sep, 2025 0:00 GMT
Typhoon RAGASA is currently located near 20.0 N 118.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). RAGASA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. RAGASA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 100% currently
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 65% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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