N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 4 Sep, 2019 15:00 GMT
Hurricane DORIAN is currently located near 29.8 N 79.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). DORIAN is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DORIAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s) the United States
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s) Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s) Canada
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 93 hours
St. Pierre and Miquelon
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s) Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 93 hours
Sydney (46.1 N, 60.1 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 93 hours
Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 93 hours
Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 69 hours
Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 69 hours
Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 93 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
