TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MATTHEW

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 7 Oct, 2016 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MATTHEW is currently located near 27.1 N 79.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). MATTHEW is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MATTHEW is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for TS is 65% currently
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MATTHEW

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 6 Oct, 2016 21:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MATTHEW is currently located near 26.2 N 78.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). MATTHEW is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MATTHEW is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.4 W)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

[Tsunami Message - IOC] MONTHLY CARIBE-EWS COMM TEST FROM PTWC

TEST...TSUNAMI DUMMY - COMMUNICATIONS TEST...TEST
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
1530 UTC THU OCT 6 2016

THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. THIS MESSAGE APPLIES ONLY TO COUNTRIES
AND TERRITORIES WITHIN AND BORDERING THE CARIBBEAN SEA THAT
PARTICIPATE IN THE TSUNAMI AND OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS WARNING
SYSTEM FOR THE CARIBBEAN AND ADJACENT REGIONS - THE CARIBE-EWS.

..THIS MESSAGE IS FOR TEST PURPOSES ONLY...
..TEST PTWC MONTHLY CARIBE-EWS COMMUNICATIONS TEST...

THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. THIS IS A SCHEDULED TEST OF THE
COMMUNICATION METHODS USED TO DISSEMINATE TSUNAMI INFORMATION
FROM THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER TO THE CARIBE-EWS
TSUNAMI WARNING FOCAL POINTS AND NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING
CENTERS.

THIS TEST IS CONDUCTED ON THE FIRST THURSDAY OF EACH MONTH AT
1530 UTC. THE MESSAGE IS SENT BY SEVERAL COMMUNICATIONS METHODS
INCLUDING THE GLOBAL TELECOMMUNICATIONS SYSTEM OR GTS... THE
AERONAUTICAL FIXED TELECOMMUNICATIONS NETWORK OR AFTN... BY
EMAIL... AND BY TELEFAX.

THIS MESSAGE SHOULD ARRIVE BY ALL DESIGNATED METHODS WITHIN A
FEW MINUTES OF ITS BEING DISSEMINATED. TSUNAMI WARNING FOCAL
POINTS AND NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTERS SHOULD CHECK THAT
IT WAS RECEIVED BY ALL METHODS IN A TIMELY FASHION.

RESPONSE - IT IS ONLY NECESSARY TO RESPOND IF THE TEST WAS
UNACCEPTABLY DELAYED OR NOT RECEIVED BY ONE OR MORE DESIGNATED
COMMUNICATION METHODS. IN THAT CASE... PLEASE NOTIFY THE PACIFIC
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER BY EMAIL... INDICATING WHICH METHOD OR
METHODS FAILED AND THE EMAIL OF A PERSON OR PERSONS TO
CORRESPOND WITH REGARDING THE PROBLEM.

PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EMAIL - COMMS@PTWC.NOAA.GOV

THE IOC... THE U.S. CARIBBEAN TSUNAMI WARNING PROGRAM... AND
THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL WORK TO RESOLVE ANY
COMMUNICATIONS PROBLEMS THAT ARE IDENTIFIED.

THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. THANK YOU FOR YOUR PARTICIPATION IN THIS
TEST.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MATTHEW

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 6 Oct, 2016 15:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MATTHEW is currently located near 25.1 N 77.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). MATTHEW is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MATTHEW is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MATTHEW

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 6 Oct, 2016 9:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MATTHEW is currently located near 24.2 N 77.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). MATTHEW is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MATTHEW is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 33 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.