NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 3 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 6.7 N 131.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 3 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 6.7 N 131.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Sunday, December 2, 2012
Atlantic Special Tropical Weather Outlook
| You are subscribed to NHC Tropical Weather Outlook (Atlantic, specials) for NOAA's National Weather Service. 12/02/2012 08:03 PM EST 000 ABNT20 KNHC 030101 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2012 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE WESTERN AZORES IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF GALE-FORCE WINDS NORTH OF THE CENTER. THIS SYSTEM IS IN THE PROCESS OF ACQUIRING FRONTAL CHARACTERISTICS AND DEVELOPMENT INTO A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE IS NOT EXPECTED. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THIS WILL BE THE LAST SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. && HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BOPHA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 6.5 N 133.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 6.5 N 133.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 6.5 N 133.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 6.5 N 133.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BOPHA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Dec, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 6.5 N 134.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kalaong (6.2 N, 124.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Zamboanga (7.0 N, 122.1 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Batulaki (5.5 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Dec, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 6.5 N 134.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kalaong (6.2 N, 124.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Zamboanga (7.0 N, 122.1 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Batulaki (5.5 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 6.5 N 134.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kalaong (6.2 N, 124.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Zamboanga (7.0 N, 122.1 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Batulaki (5.5 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Dec, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 6.5 N 134.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kalaong (6.2 N, 124.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Zamboanga (7.0 N, 122.1 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Batulaki (5.5 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Atlantic Special Tropical Weather Outlook
| You are subscribed to NHC Tropical Weather Outlook (Atlantic, specials) for NOAA's National Weather Service. 12/02/2012 08:49 AM EST 000 ABNT20 KNHC 021346 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 850 AM EST SUN DEC 2 2012 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 1050 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF GALE-FORCE WINDS NORTH OF THE CENTER. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ACQUIRE FRONTAL CHARACTERISTICS LATER TODAY OR MONDAY...AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS BECOMING LESS LIKELY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. IF NECESSARY...ANOTHER SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM THIS EVENING. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. && HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BOPHA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 6.3 N 136.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 6.3 N 136.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 6.3 N 136.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 6.3 N 136.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
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