S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 31 Jan, 2026 0:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone FYTIA is currently located near 16.0 S 44.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). FYTIA is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FYTIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soalala (16.1 S, 45.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Besalampy (16.7 S, 44.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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