N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 2 Jul, 2021 3:00 GMT
Tropical Storm ELSA is currently located near 11.8 N 55.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). ELSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Barbados
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 9 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Dominica
probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
Martinique
probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
St. Lucia
probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
St. Vincent and the Grenadines
probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
Guadeloupe
probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
Grenada
probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
Puerto Rico
probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
the Dominican Republic
probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
