N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 19 Oct, 2019 3:00 GMT
Tropical Storm NESTOR is currently located near 28.5 N 87.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). NESTOR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the United States
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 9 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)
probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
Charlotte (35.2 N, 80.8 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
