TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane IMELDA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 1 Oct, 2025 3:00 GMT

Hurricane IMELDA is currently located near 29.7 N 73.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). IMELDA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IMELDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane IMELDA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 1 Oct, 2025 0:00 GMT

Hurricane IMELDA is currently located near 29.4 N 74.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). IMELDA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IMELDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 30 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 30 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane IMELDA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2025 21:00 GMT

Hurricane IMELDA is currently located near 29.4 N 75.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). IMELDA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IMELDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane HUMBERTO

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2025 21:00 GMT

Hurricane HUMBERTO is currently located near 34.0 N 69.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). HUMBERTO is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HUMBERTO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane IMELDA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2025 18:00 GMT

Hurricane IMELDA is currently located near 29.2 N 75.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). IMELDA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IMELDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 30 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 30 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane IMELDA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2025 15:00 GMT

Hurricane IMELDA is currently located near 29.1 N 76.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). IMELDA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IMELDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
1410 UTC TUE SEP 30 2025

....PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.0
* ORIGIN TIME 1400 UTC SEP 30 2025
* COORDINATES 11.1 NORTH 124.3 EAST
* DEPTH 10 KM / 6 MILES
* LOCATION LEYTE PHILIPPINES


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.0 OCCURRED IN
LEYTE, PHILIPPINES AT 1400 UTC ON TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 30 2025.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane IMELDA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2025 12:00 GMT

Hurricane IMELDA is currently located near 29.0 N 76.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). IMELDA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IMELDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 42 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 42 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 42 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 42 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IMELDA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2025 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IMELDA is currently located near 28.8 N 76.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). IMELDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane HUMBERTO

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2025 9:00 GMT

Hurricane HUMBERTO is currently located near 31.6 N 69.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). HUMBERTO is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HUMBERTO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane HUMBERTO

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2025 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane HUMBERTO is currently located near 30.1 N 68.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). HUMBERTO is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HUMBERTO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IMELDA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2025 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IMELDA is currently located near 28.4 N 77.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). IMELDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IMELDA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2025 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IMELDA is currently located near 28.1 N 77.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). IMELDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 66 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 66 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 66 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 66 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IMELDA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2025 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IMELDA is currently located near 27.7 N 77.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). IMELDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 69 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 69 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane HUMBERTO

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2025 21:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane HUMBERTO is currently located near 29.1 N 68.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). HUMBERTO is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HUMBERTO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IMELDA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2025 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IMELDA is currently located near 27.2 N 77.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). IMELDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 66 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 66 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 66 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 66 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for TS is 65% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IMELDA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2025 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IMELDA is currently located near 26.9 N 77.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). IMELDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 69 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 69 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IMELDA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2025 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IMELDA is currently located near 26.3 N 77.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). IMELDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 66 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 66 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 66 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 66 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 6 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane HUMBERTO

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2025 12:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane HUMBERTO is currently located near 27.5 N 67.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). HUMBERTO is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HUMBERTO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 55% in about 42 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 42 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane HUMBERTO

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2025 9:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane HUMBERTO is currently located near 27.2 N 66.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). HUMBERTO is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HUMBERTO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IMELDA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2025 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IMELDA is currently located near 25.1 N 77.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). IMELDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 90 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 90 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 90 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 90 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane HUMBERTO

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2025 6:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane HUMBERTO is currently located near 26.7 N 66.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). HUMBERTO is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HUMBERTO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 55% in about 66 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 66 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IMELDA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2025 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IMELDA is currently located near 25.0 N 77.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). IMELDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane HUMBERTO

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2025 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane HUMBERTO is currently located near 26.2 N 66.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). HUMBERTO is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HUMBERTO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IMELDA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2025 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IMELDA is currently located near 24.7 N 77.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). IMELDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 90 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 90 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 6 hours
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 90 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 90 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 18 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane HUMBERTO

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2025 0:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane HUMBERTO is currently located near 25.8 N 65.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). HUMBERTO is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HUMBERTO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 60% in about 66 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 66 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IMELDA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2025 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IMELDA is currently located near 24.2 N 77.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). IMELDA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 93 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane HUMBERTO

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2025 21:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane HUMBERTO is currently located near 25.5 N 65.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). HUMBERTO is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HUMBERTO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BUALOI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2025 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Typhoon BUALOI is currently located near 18.2 N 106.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). BUALOI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. BUALOI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Laos
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Thailand
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Dong Ha (16.9 N, 107.1 E)
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Louangphrabang (19.9 N, 102.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL09

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2025 15:00 GMT

Tropical Depression AL09 is currently located near 23.5 N 77.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL09 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 117 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 117 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BUALOI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2025 6:00 GMT

Typhoon BUALOI is currently located near 17.0 N 108.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). BUALOI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. BUALOI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Laos
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Dong Ha (16.9 N, 107.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 95% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Thailand
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL09

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2025 6:00 GMT

Tropical Depression AL09 is currently located near 22.7 N 76.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL09 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 18 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 18 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 18 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 18 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 30 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL09

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2025 3:00 GMT

Tropical Depression AL09 is currently located near 22.4 N 76.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL09 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BUALOI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2025 0:00 GMT

Typhoon BUALOI is currently located near 16.4 N 109.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). BUALOI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. BUALOI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Laos
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Dong Ha (16.9 N, 107.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL09

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2025 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression AL09 is currently located near 22.4 N 76.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL09 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 30 hours
    the United States
        probability for TS is 60% in about 114 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 18 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 30 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 114 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL09

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2025 21:00 GMT

Tropical Depression AL09 is currently located near 22.2 N 76.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL09 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    the United States
        probability for TS is 60% in about 117 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 117 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane HUMBERTO

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2025 21:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane HUMBERTO is currently located near 22.9 N 61.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 140 kts (161 mph). HUMBERTO is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HUMBERTO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BUALOI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2025 18:00 GMT

Typhoon BUALOI is currently located near 15.8 N 110.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). BUALOI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. BUALOI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Laos
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Thailand
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Dong Ha (16.9 N, 107.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL09

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2025 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression AL09 is currently located near 22.0 N 76.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL09 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 42 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 30 hours
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 90 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 90 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 30 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 42 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).