NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Sep, 2025 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm BUALOI is currently located near 12.0 N 126.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). BUALOI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s) the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Thailand
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s) Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Dong Ha (16.9 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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