TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone IDAI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 11 Mar, 2019 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone IDAI is currently located near 17.3 S 43.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). IDAI is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IDAI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Malawi
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Zimbabwe
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Maintirano (18.0 S, 44.1 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Besalampy (16.7 S, 44.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Pebane (17.2 S, 38.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Quelimane (17.9 S, 36.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
    Chinde (18.8 S, 36.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
    Machece (19.2 S, 35.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Moma (17.0 S, 39.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Blantyre (15.8 S, 35.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
    Chimoio (19.1 S, 33.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
    Beira (19.8 S, 34.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Nova Sofala (20.1 S, 34.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone IDAI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 10 Mar, 2019 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone IDAI is currently located near 17.2 S 43.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). IDAI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IDAI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Malawi
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Zimbabwe
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Maintirano (18.0 S, 44.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Besalampy (16.7 S, 44.5 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Chinde (18.8 S, 36.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
    Quelimane (17.9 S, 36.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    Machece (19.2 S, 35.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Beira (19.8 S, 34.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Moma (17.0 S, 39.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Pebane (17.2 S, 38.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Chimoio (19.1 S, 33.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Nova Sofala (20.1 S, 34.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Nova Mambone (21.0 S, 35.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Inhassore (21.5 S, 35.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IDAI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 10 Mar, 2019 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IDAI is currently located near 17.2 S 43.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). IDAI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 36 hours
    Zimbabwe
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Besalampy (16.7 S, 44.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Maintirano (18.0 S, 44.1 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Moma (17.0 S, 39.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Pebane (17.2 S, 38.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
    Quelimane (17.9 S, 36.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Chinde (18.8 S, 36.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Chimoio (19.1 S, 33.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
    Machece (19.2 S, 35.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Beira (19.8 S, 34.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Nova Sofala (20.1 S, 34.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Nova Mambone (21.0 S, 35.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm IDAI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 10 Mar, 2019 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IDAI is currently located near 17.4 S 42.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). IDAI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 48 hours
    Malawi
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
    Zimbabwe
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Maintirano (18.0 S, 44.1 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Chinde (18.8 S, 36.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Pebane (17.2 S, 38.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Quelimane (17.9 S, 36.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Chimoio (19.1 S, 33.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
    Machece (19.2 S, 35.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Beira (19.8 S, 34.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Nova Sofala (20.1 S, 34.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Nova Mambone (21.0 S, 35.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Inhassore (21.5 S, 35.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Vilanculos (22.0 S, 35.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Cheline (22.5 S, 35.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
    Masvingo (21.0 S, 31.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 10% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).