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Thursday, September 29, 2016

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane MATTHEW

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2016 3:00 GMT

Hurricane MATTHEW is currently located near 14.1 N 68.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). MATTHEW is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MATTHEW is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for TS is 65% within 9 hours
    Aruba
        probability for TS is 60% within 9 hours
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CHABA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2016 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CHABA is currently located near 13.5 N 138.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). CHABA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CHABA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2016 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CHABA is currently located near 13.7 N 139.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). CHABA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane MATTHEW

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2016 21:00 GMT

Hurricane MATTHEW is currently located near 14.1 N 67.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). MATTHEW is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MATTHEW is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Aruba
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for TS is 65% within 9 hours
    Colombia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
    Venezuela
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MATTHEW

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2016 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MATTHEW is currently located near 14.2 N 66.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). MATTHEW is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Aruba
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 93 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 93 hours
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CHABA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2016 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CHABA is currently located near 14.1 N 140.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). CHABA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MATTHEW

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2016 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MATTHEW is currently located near 14.0 N 64.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). MATTHEW is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 69 hours
    Aruba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 33 hours
    Colombia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 93 hours
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 117 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CHABA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2016 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CHABA is currently located near 14.2 N 141.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). CHABA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.