N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 6 Jun, 2016 3:00 GMT
Tropical Storm COLIN is currently located near 23.6 N 87.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). COLIN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mexico
probability for TS is 95% currently
the United States
probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
Cancun (21.0 N, 87.0 W)
probability for TS is 65% currently
Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
