TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MELISSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 26 Oct, 2025 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MELISSA is currently located near 16.4 N 75.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). MELISSA is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MELISSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 93 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 93 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 40% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    Montego Bay (18.5 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane MELISSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 26 Oct, 2025 0:00 GMT

Hurricane MELISSA is currently located near 16.5 N 75.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). MELISSA is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MELISSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 85% within 6 hours
    Jamaica
        probability for TS is 85% in about 18 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 90 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 90 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 90 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 90 hours
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 66 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 42 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 30 hours
    Montego Bay (18.5 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 66 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 42 hours
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 90 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 90 hours
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 90 hours
        probability for TS is 15% within 6 hours
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 90 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 90 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane MELISSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 25 Oct, 2025 21:00 GMT

Hurricane MELISSA is currently located near 16.6 N 75.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). MELISSA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MELISSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Jamaica
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 93 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    Montego Bay (18.5 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 15% within 9 hours
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane MELISSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 25 Oct, 2025 18:00 GMT

Hurricane MELISSA is currently located near 16.6 N 75.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). MELISSA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MELISSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Jamaica
        probability for TS is 80% in about 30 hours
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 90 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 90 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 114 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 114 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 114 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 114 hours
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 90 hours
        probability for TS is 45% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 66 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 42 hours
    Montego Bay (18.5 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 66 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 66 hours
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 114 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 114 hours
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 90 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 66 hours
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 114 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 114 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MELISSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 25 Oct, 2025 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MELISSA is currently located near 16.5 N 75.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). MELISSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Jamaica
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 117 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 117 hours
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 40% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
    Montego Bay (18.5 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 117 hours
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 117 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MELISSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 25 Oct, 2025 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MELISSA is currently located near 16.4 N 75.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). MELISSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Jamaica
        probability for TS is 85% in about 30 hours
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 90 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 90 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 114 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 114 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 114 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 114 hours
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 60% within 6 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 30 hours
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 90 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 90 hours
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 114 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 114 hours
    Montego Bay (18.5 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 66 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 66 hours
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 114 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 114 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CHENGE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Oct, 2025 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CHENGE is currently located near 7.8 S 51.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). CHENGE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Seychelles
        probability for TS is 65% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Providence Is. (9.2 S, 51.1 E)
        probability for TS is 65% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MELISSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 25 Oct, 2025 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MELISSA is currently located near 16.3 N 74.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). MELISSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 66 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 66 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 90 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 114 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 114 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 114 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 114 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 114 hours
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 55% within 6 hours
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for TS is 55% in about 114 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 90 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 90 hours
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 114 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 114 hours
    Montego Bay (18.5 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 90 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 90 hours
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 114 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 114 hours
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 114 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 114 hours
    Monte Cristi (19.8 N, 71.6 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 114 hours
    Camaguey (21.4 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 90 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 114 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).