TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TWENTYONE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 8 Feb, 2026 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TWENTYONE is currently located near 18.0 S 56.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). TWENTYONE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone MITCHELL

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 8 Feb, 2026 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone MITCHELL is currently located near 20.7 S 115.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). MITCHELL is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MITCHELL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently
    Carnarvon (24.9 S, 113.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone MITCHELL

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 7 Feb, 2026 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone MITCHELL is currently located near 20.3 S 116.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). MITCHELL is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MITCHELL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Carnarvon (24.9 S, 113.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone MITCHELL

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 7 Feb, 2026 12:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone MITCHELL is currently located near 20.0 S 116.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). MITCHELL is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MITCHELL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Carnarvon (24.9 S, 113.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).