N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2025 3:00 GMT
Tropical Storm MELISSA is currently located near 14.3 N 74.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). MELISSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Jamaica
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 117 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 117 hours
Cuba
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 117 hours
the Cayman Islands
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 117 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 117 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours
Montego Bay (18.5 N, 77.9 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 117 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 117 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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