A gathering of information, and sources, to aid with monitoring natural events, globally.
Wednesday, August 22, 2018
[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Test Message
TSUPAC
TEST... TSUNAMI DUMMY - COMMUNICATIONS TEST ...TEST
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
0412 UTC THU AUG 23 2018
THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. THIS MESSAGE APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN
AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS... EXCEPT
ALASKA... BRITISH COLUMBIA... WASHINGTON... OREGON AND
CALIFORNIA.
...THIS MESSAGE IS FOR TEST PURPOSES ONLY...
...TEST PTWC MONTHLY COMMUNICATIONS TEST...
THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. THIS IS A SCHEDULED TEST OF THE
COMMUNICATION METHODS USED TO DISSEMINATE TSUNAMI INFORMATION
FROM THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER TO THE PTWS
TSUNAMI WARNING FOCAL POINTS.
THIS TEST IS CONDUCTED ON THE FIRST TUESDAY OF EACH MONTH AT
2230UTC. THE MESSAGE IS SENT BY SEVERAL COMMUNICATIONS METHODS
INCLUDING THE GLOBAL TELECOMMUNICATIONS SYSTEM OR GTS... THE
AERONAUTICAL FIXED TELECOMMUNICATIONS NETWORK OR AFTN... BY
EMAIL... AND BY TELEFAX.
THIS MESSAGE SHOULD ARRIVE BY ALL DESIGNATED METHODS WITHIN A
FEW MINUTES OF ITS BEING DISSEMINATED. TSUNAMI WARNING FOCAL
POINTS SHOULD CHECK THAT IT WAS RECEIVED BY ALL METHODS IN A
TIMELY FASHION.
RESPONSE - IT IS ONLY NECESSARY TO RESPOND IF THE TEST WAS
UNACCEPTABLY DELAYED OR NOT RECEIVED BY ONE OR MORE DESIGNATED
COMMUNICATION METHODS. IN THAT CASE... PLEASE NOTIFY THE PACIFIC
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER BY EMAIL... INDICATING WHICH METHOD OR
METHODS FAILED AND THE EMAIL OF A PERSON OR PERSONS TO
CORRESPOND WITH REGARDING THE PROBLEM.
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EMAIL = COMMS@PTWC.NOAA.GOV
THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL WORK TO RESOLVE ANY
COMMUNICATIONS PROBLEMS THAT ARE IDENTIFIED.
THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. THANK YOU FOR PARTICIPATION IN THIS
TEST.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon CIMARON
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Aug, 2018 0:00 GMT
Typhoon CIMARON is currently located near 29.9 N 135.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). CIMARON is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CIMARON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Sapporo (43.1 N, 141.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Asahikawa (43.8 N, 142.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SOULIK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Aug, 2018 0:00 GMT
Typhoon SOULIK is currently located near 33.1 N 125.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). SOULIK is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SOULIK is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
North Korea
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
China
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Vladivostok (43.1 N, 132.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane LANE
NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Aug, 2018 21:00 GMT
Intense Hurricane LANE is currently located near 15.5 N 155.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 135 kts (155 mph). LANE is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LANE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Honolulu (21.3 N, 157.8 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon CIMARON
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Aug, 2018 18:00 GMT
Typhoon CIMARON is currently located near 28.4 N 135.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). CIMARON is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CIMARON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SOULIK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Aug, 2018 18:00 GMT
Typhoon SOULIK is currently located near 32.6 N 125.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). SOULIK is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SOULIK is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
China
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Vladivostok (43.1 N, 132.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SOULIK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Aug, 2018 12:00 GMT
Typhoon SOULIK is currently located near 31.7 N 126.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). SOULIK is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SOULIK is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Japan
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
China
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane LANE
NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Aug, 2018 15:00 GMT
Intense Hurricane LANE is currently located near 15.1 N 155.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 135 kts (155 mph). LANE is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LANE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Honolulu (21.3 N, 157.8 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon CIMARON
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Aug, 2018 12:00 GMT
Typhoon CIMARON is currently located near 26.9 N 137.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). CIMARON is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CIMARON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon CIMARON
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Aug, 2018 6:00 GMT
Typhoon CIMARON is currently located near 25.5 N 138.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). CIMARON is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CIMARON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SOULIK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Aug, 2018 6:00 GMT
Typhoon SOULIK is currently located near 31.1 N 126.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). SOULIK is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SOULIK is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 100% currently
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
China
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane LANE
NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Aug, 2018 9:00 GMT
Intense Hurricane LANE is currently located near 14.7 N 154.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 140 kts (161 mph). LANE is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LANE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Honolulu (21.3 N, 157.8 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).