TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane FLORENCE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 14 Sep, 2018 3:00 GMT

Hurricane FLORENCE is currently located near 34.0 N 76.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). FLORENCE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FLORENCE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 65% currently
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 65% within 9 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Super Typhoon MANGKHUT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Sep, 2018 0:00 GMT

Super Typhoon MANGKHUT is currently located near 15.9 N 126.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 150 kts (173 mph). MANGKHUT is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MANGKHUT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Super Typhoon MANGKHUT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2018 18:00 GMT

Super Typhoon MANGKHUT is currently located near 15.2 N 127.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 150 kts (173 mph). MANGKHUT is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MANGKHUT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane FLORENCE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2018 21:00 GMT

Hurricane FLORENCE is currently located near 33.7 N 76.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). FLORENCE is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FLORENCE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 70% within 9 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ISAAC

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2018 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ISAAC is currently located near 14.9 N 61.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). ISAAC is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guadeloupe
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Dominica
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Martinique
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Montserrat
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    St. Kitts and Nevis
        probability for TS is 70% within 9 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane FLORENCE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2018 15:00 GMT

Hurricane FLORENCE is currently located near 33.4 N 75.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). FLORENCE is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FLORENCE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Super Typhoon MANGKHUT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2018 12:00 GMT

Super Typhoon MANGKHUT is currently located near 15.0 N 129.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 145 kts (167 mph). MANGKHUT is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MANGKHUT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 96 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression BARIJAT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2018 6:00 GMT

Tropical Depression BARIJAT is currently located near 21.2 N 109.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). BARIJAT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 70% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ISAAC

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2018 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ISAAC is currently located near 15.4 N 59.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). ISAAC is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guadeloupe
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Dominica
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Montserrat
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    St. Kitts and Nevis
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
    Martinique
        probability for TS is 60% within 9 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane FLORENCE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2018 9:00 GMT

Hurricane FLORENCE is currently located near 32.8 N 74.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). FLORENCE is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FLORENCE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).