Typhoon ROKE (18W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Sep, 2011 0:00 GMT
Typhoon ROKE (18W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
