TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BUALOI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Sep, 2025 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BUALOI is currently located near 9.5 N 133.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). BUALOI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon RAGASA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Sep, 2025 0:00 GMT

Typhoon RAGASA is currently located near 21.2 N 113.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). RAGASA is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. RAGASA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
    Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
    Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon RAGASA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Sep, 2025 18:00 GMT

Typhoon RAGASA is currently located near 21.1 N 114.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). RAGASA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. RAGASA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert (CORRECTION) - Typhoon RAGASA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Sep, 2025 12:00 GMT

Typhoon RAGASA is currently located near 20.8 N 116.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). RAGASA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. RAGASA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 36 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon RAGASA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Sep, 2025 6:00 GMT

Typhoon RAGASA is currently located near 20.4 N 117.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). RAGASA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. RAGASA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).