TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TWENTYTWO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Feb, 2026 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TWENTYTWO is currently located near 14.5 S 76.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). TWENTYTWO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm GEZANI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 16 Feb, 2026 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm GEZANI is currently located near 25.3 S 43.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). GEZANI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for TS is 90% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone GEZANI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 16 Feb, 2026 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone GEZANI is currently located near 24.9 S 41.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). GEZANI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. GEZANI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone GEZANI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 15 Feb, 2026 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone GEZANI is currently located near 26.2 S 41.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). GEZANI is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. GEZANI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
0234 UTC SAT FEB 14 2026

....PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.5
* ORIGIN TIME 0228 UTC FEB 14 2026
* COORDINATES 15.1 SOUTH 166.5 EAST
* DEPTH 10 KM / 6 MILES
* LOCATION VANUATU


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.5 OCCURRED IN
THE VANUATU ISLANDS AT 0228 UTC ON SATURDAY FEBRUARY 14
2026.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone GEZANI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 14 Feb, 2026 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone GEZANI is currently located near 24.1 S 35.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). GEZANI is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. GEZANI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Inhambane (23.9 S, 35.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% currently
        probability for TS is 90% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Massinga (23.3 S, 35.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone GEZANI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Feb, 2026 12:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone GEZANI is currently located near 22.5 S 36.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). GEZANI is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. GEZANI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Massinga (23.3 S, 35.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Inhambane (23.9 S, 35.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone GEZANI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Feb, 2026 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone GEZANI is currently located near 21.3 S 38.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). GEZANI is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. GEZANI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Inhambane (23.9 S, 35.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Massinga (23.3 S, 35.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone GEZANI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 Feb, 2026 12:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone GEZANI is currently located near 20.4 S 40.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). GEZANI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. GEZANI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Inhambane (23.9 S, 35.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Massinga (23.3 S, 35.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Cheline (22.5 S, 35.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Vilanculos (22.0 S, 35.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm GEZANI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 Feb, 2026 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm GEZANI is currently located near 19.7 S 42.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). GEZANI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Massinga (23.3 S, 35.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
    Inhambane (23.9 S, 35.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone GEZANI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 11 Feb, 2026 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone GEZANI is currently located near 18.2 S 48.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). GEZANI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. GEZANI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone GEZANI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 10 Feb, 2026 12:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone GEZANI is currently located near 18.1 S 50.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). GEZANI is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. GEZANI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Inhambane (23.9 S, 35.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone GEZANI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 10 Feb, 2026 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone GEZANI is currently located near 18.2 S 52.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). GEZANI is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. GEZANI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Inhambane (23.9 S, 35.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MITCHELL

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 9 Feb, 2026 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm MITCHELL is currently located near 25.3 S 113.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). MITCHELL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Carnarvon (24.9 S, 113.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Useless Loop (26.3 S, 113.4 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm GEZANI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 9 Feb, 2026 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm GEZANI is currently located near 18.0 S 53.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). GEZANI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Vilanculos (22.0 S, 35.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Cheline (22.5 S, 35.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Massinga (23.3 S, 35.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Inhambane (23.9 S, 35.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm GEZANI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 9 Feb, 2026 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm GEZANI is currently located near 17.9 S 55.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). GEZANI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MITCHELL

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 9 Feb, 2026 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MITCHELL is currently located near 23.1 S 113.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). MITCHELL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Carnarvon (24.9 S, 113.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MITCHELL

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 8 Feb, 2026 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MITCHELL is currently located near 22.1 S 113.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). MITCHELL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Carnarvon (24.9 S, 113.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm GEZANI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 8 Feb, 2026 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm GEZANI is currently located near 18.3 S 56.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). GEZANI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MITCHELL

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 8 Feb, 2026 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MITCHELL is currently located near 21.6 S 114.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). MITCHELL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Carnarvon (24.9 S, 113.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone MITCHELL

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 8 Feb, 2026 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone MITCHELL is currently located near 21.3 S 114.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). MITCHELL is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MITCHELL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Carnarvon (24.9 S, 113.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TWENTYONE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 8 Feb, 2026 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TWENTYONE is currently located near 18.0 S 56.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). TWENTYONE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone MITCHELL

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 8 Feb, 2026 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone MITCHELL is currently located near 20.7 S 115.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). MITCHELL is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MITCHELL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently
    Carnarvon (24.9 S, 113.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone MITCHELL

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 7 Feb, 2026 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone MITCHELL is currently located near 20.3 S 116.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). MITCHELL is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MITCHELL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Carnarvon (24.9 S, 113.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone MITCHELL

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 7 Feb, 2026 12:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone MITCHELL is currently located near 20.0 S 116.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). MITCHELL is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MITCHELL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Carnarvon (24.9 S, 113.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MITCHELL

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 7 Feb, 2026 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MITCHELL is currently located near 19.0 S 118.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). MITCHELL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MITCHELL

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 6 Feb, 2026 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MITCHELL is currently located near 18.9 S 119.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). MITCHELL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TWENTY

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 6 Feb, 2026 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TWENTY is currently located near 18.5 S 119.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). TWENTY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
    Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TWENTY

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 6 Feb, 2026 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TWENTY is currently located near 18.8 S 120.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). TWENTY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
    Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Gascoyne Junction (25.1 S, 115.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression PENHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 6 Feb, 2026 6:00 GMT

Tropical Depression PENHA is currently located near 9.9 N 123.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). PENHA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% currently
    Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression PENHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 6 Feb, 2026 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression PENHA is currently located near 9.8 N 124.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). PENHA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 75% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PENHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 5 Feb, 2026 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PENHA is currently located near 9.3 N 125.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). PENHA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
        probability for TS is 65% currently
    Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PENHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 5 Feb, 2026 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PENHA is currently located near 8.5 N 127.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). PENHA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PENHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 5 Feb, 2026 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PENHA is currently located near 8.2 N 127.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). PENHA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PENHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 5 Feb, 2026 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PENHA is currently located near 8.0 N 129.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). PENHA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression PENHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 4 Feb, 2026 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression PENHA is currently located near 8.7 N 131.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). PENHA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).