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Thursday, October 27, 2022

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2022 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NALGAE is currently located near 12.1 N 128.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 72 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2022 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NALGAE is currently located near 12.1 N 129.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2022 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression NALGAE is currently located near 12.1 N 130.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 72 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2022 6:00 GMT

Tropical Depression NALGAE is currently located near 12.2 N 130.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).