TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MATTHEW

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 3 Oct, 2016 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MATTHEW is currently located near 14.7 N 75.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). MATTHEW is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MATTHEW is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours
    Port-au-Prince (18.4 N, 72.3 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon CHABA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 3 Oct, 2016 0:00 GMT

Typhoon CHABA is currently located near 23.9 N 127.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). CHABA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHABA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MATTHEW

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 2 Oct, 2016 21:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MATTHEW is currently located near 14.6 N 74.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). MATTHEW is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MATTHEW is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
    Port-au-Prince (18.4 N, 72.3 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon CHABA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Oct, 2016 18:00 GMT

Typhoon CHABA is currently located near 22.8 N 128.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). CHABA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHABA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MATTHEW

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 2 Oct, 2016 15:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MATTHEW is currently located near 14.0 N 74.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). MATTHEW is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MATTHEW is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Port-au-Prince (18.4 N, 72.3 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon CHABA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Oct, 2016 12:00 GMT

Typhoon CHABA is currently located near 21.8 N 129.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). CHABA is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHABA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MATTHEW

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 2 Oct, 2016 9:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MATTHEW is currently located near 13.9 N 74.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 130 kts (150 mph). MATTHEW is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MATTHEW is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port-au-Prince (18.4 N, 72.3 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon CHABA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Oct, 2016 6:00 GMT

Typhoon CHABA is currently located near 20.8 N 130.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). CHABA is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHABA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.