TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane KATIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Sep, 2017 3:00 GMT

Hurricane KATIA is currently located near 21.5 N 95.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). KATIA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KATIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuxpan (21.0 N, 97.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane IRMA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Sep, 2017 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane IRMA is currently located near 21.3 N 72.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 145 kts (167 mph). IRMA is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IRMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Camaguey (21.4 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    Santa Clara (22.4 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Monte Cristi (19.8 N, 71.6 W)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    Fort Myers (26.6 N, 81.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    Key West (24.7 N, 81.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Havana (23.0 N, 82.4 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane JOSE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Sep, 2017 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane JOSE is currently located near 15.6 N 53.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). JOSE is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. JOSE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours
    Anguilla
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
    Guadeloupe
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
    the British Virgin Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane KATIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 7 Sep, 2017 21:00 GMT

Hurricane KATIA is currently located near 21.6 N 94.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). KATIA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KATIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuxpan (21.0 N, 97.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane IRMA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 7 Sep, 2017 21:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane IRMA is currently located near 20.9 N 71.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 150 kts (173 mph). IRMA is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IRMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Monte Cristi (19.8 N, 71.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Santa Clara (22.4 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Camaguey (21.4 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
    Fort Myers (26.6 N, 81.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    Key West (24.7 N, 81.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 69 hours
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 69 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane JOSE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 7 Sep, 2017 21:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane JOSE is currently located near 15.5 N 52.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). JOSE is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. JOSE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours
    Guadeloupe
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 33 hours
    Anguilla
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours
    the British Virgin Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    St. Kitts and Nevis
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours
    Montserrat
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours
    the Virgin Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St. Thomas (18.5 N, 64.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane JOSE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 7 Sep, 2017 15:00 GMT

Hurricane JOSE is currently located near 14.9 N 50.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). JOSE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. JOSE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Anguilla
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Guadeloupe
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
    St. Kitts and Nevis
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Montserrat
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
    the British Virgin Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    the Virgin Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St. Thomas (18.5 N, 64.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane IRMA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 7 Sep, 2017 15:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane IRMA is currently located near 20.4 N 69.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 150 kts (173 mph). IRMA is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IRMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Monte Cristi (19.8 N, 71.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Camaguey (21.4 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours
    Santo Domingo (18.7 N, 69.9 W)
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
    Santa Clara (22.4 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Fort Myers (26.6 N, 81.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 69 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 93 hours
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Key West (24.7 N, 81.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 69 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane KATIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 7 Sep, 2017 15:00 GMT

Hurricane KATIA is currently located near 21.6 N 94.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). KATIA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KATIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuxpan (21.0 N, 97.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane IRMA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 7 Sep, 2017 9:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane IRMA is currently located near 20.0 N 68.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 155 kts (178 mph). IRMA is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IRMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Monte Cristi (19.8 N, 71.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Puerto Rico
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    Santo Domingo (18.7 N, 69.9 W)
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Camaguey (21.4 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    Santa Clara (22.4 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    Fort Myers (26.6 N, 81.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 69 hours
    Key West (24.7 N, 81.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 69 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 93 hours
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane JOSE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 7 Sep, 2017 9:00 GMT

Hurricane JOSE is currently located near 14.8 N 49.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). JOSE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. JOSE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Guadeloupe
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
    the British Virgin Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours
    Anguilla
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    St. Kitts and Nevis
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane KATIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 7 Sep, 2017 9:00 GMT

Hurricane KATIA is currently located near 21.5 N 94.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). KATIA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KATIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuxpan (21.0 N, 97.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane KATIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 7 Sep, 2017 3:00 GMT

Hurricane KATIA is currently located near 21.7 N 94.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). KATIA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KATIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuxpan (21.0 N, 97.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
    Veracruz (19.2 N, 96.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane JOSE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 7 Sep, 2017 3:00 GMT

Hurricane JOSE is currently located near 14.4 N 47.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). JOSE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. JOSE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Anguilla
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Guadeloupe
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane IRMA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 7 Sep, 2017 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane IRMA is currently located near 19.4 N 66.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 160 kts (184 mph). IRMA is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IRMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Puerto Rico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    Monte Cristi (19.8 N, 71.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    the Virgin Islands
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Juan (18.4 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
    Santo Domingo (18.7 N, 69.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
    Camaguey (21.4 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    St. Thomas (18.5 N, 64.7 W)
        probability for TS is 55% currently
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 69 hours
    Santa Clara (22.4 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 69 hours
    Fort Myers (26.6 N, 81.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 69 hours
    Key West (24.7 N, 81.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 69 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 93 hours
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.