TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm DUMAZILE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 3 Mar, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm DUMAZILE is currently located near 14.1 S 54.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). DUMAZILE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Reunion
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ELEVEN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 2 Mar, 2018 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ELEVEN is currently located near 12.8 S 54.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). ELEVEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Reunion
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Mauritius
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 72 hours
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Maroantseta (15.4 S, 49.7 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ELEVEN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 2 Mar, 2018 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ELEVEN is currently located near 12.6 S 54.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). ELEVEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Reunion
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).