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Wednesday, September 28, 2016

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression CHABA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2016 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression CHABA is currently located near 14.5 N 142.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). CHABA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression CHABA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2016 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression CHABA is currently located near 14.4 N 144.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). CHABA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Guam
        probability for TS is 55% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MATTHEW

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2016 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MATTHEW is currently located near 13.8 N 62.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). MATTHEW is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guadeloupe
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Dominica
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Martinique
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    St. Lucia
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    St. Vincent and the Grenadines
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Grenada
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Montserrat
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for TS is 60% within 9 hours
    St. Kitts and Nevis
        probability for TS is 60% within 9 hours
    Colombia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 69 hours
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 117 hours
    Montego Bay (18.5 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 117 hours
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression CHABA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2016 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression CHABA is currently located near 14.2 N 145.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). CHABA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Guam
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression CHABA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2016 6:00 GMT

Tropical Depression CHABA is currently located near 14.3 N 147.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). CHABA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Guam
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.